Rational Exuberence?

Robert Shiller identified a number of reasons why this time around, exuberence is more rational than when he wrote his landmark “irrational exuberence”. In short:

- founders are smarter
- costs for it and marketing are lower
- market demand is 10x greater

I buy that. Totally. We’ve been saying it too B). The only thing that worries me is that the GooTube deal creates valuation hyperventilation – and building an organisation that actually sustains a business that is worth more than 9 digits is a cartload of LONG HARD WORK. Let nobody forget that.

The other interesting phenomenon is that bankers and consultants are flocking back to the troughs of get-reach-fast-with-dotcom-web2.0 – and they still often need to learn to go operative – Find the shortest distance between a powerpoint slide and the real world.

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Axel Schmiegelow

About me

As a Founder of denkwerk Group, I have been involved in marketing, media, the internet, and start-ups for the past 15 years. I have seen the New Economy come and go (and come back again). At denkwerk, we founded the world's first bookmarking and tagging startup, oneview, in 1998, and rolled it out in 16 countries and 10 languages. denkwerk has always endeavoured to make innovation happen and attract some of the brightest talents (and start-ups) in our industry.

As a seed investor, I am an active Board Member of the company shaping the future of travel commerce, itravel, and a Board member of the exciting local search and rating company, Qype. As an investor in armedangels and an Advisor to betterplace, I support endeavours to make the world a better place.

In December 2005, I met Ibrahim "Ibo" Evsan and Tom Bachem. They had just developed a ground-breaking technology for an online Video Player. With seed funding from denkwerk we incorporated in April 2006, and in Summer 2006 I became CEO of sevenload!. In 2007 Andreas Heyden, the RTL in-house Founder of our main competitor, clipfish, left RTL group to join us as COO, and Andreas and I developed a licensing and business model that will help shape the future of TV and internet media, while Ibo and Tom turned their technology sights to Social Gaming when they left sevenload step by step between late 2008 and Summer 2009. Today sevenload is headed by a brilliant management team which I find exciting and rewarding to work with and learn from.

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